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<WIRE> US Jobs Data Expectations From Major Banks



Expectations for the release of U.S.

jobs data for September vary widely among big banks.

The poll median anticipates 170k non-farm payroll jobs added in September, down from 187k in August, and estimates span from 90k to 256k.

Unemployment is expected to dip slightly to 3.7% from August’s figures (3.4%-3.9%), with average hourly earnings predicted to increase by 0.3%, up from a 0.2% increase in August (0.1%-0.4% range).

Goldman Sachs predicts 200k Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) jobs, aligning with consensus unemployment and average hourly earnings at 0.3%.

JP Morgan anticipates a 175k increase in NFP, also with 3.7% unemployment and 0.3% average hourly earnings.

Similarly, Morgan Stanley predicts 180k for NFP, 3.7% unemployment, and 0.3% average hourly earnings.

Deutsche Bank foresees 165k extra jobs, 3.7% unemployment, and a 0.2% increase in average hourly earnings.

Citi Group projects the NFP to rise by 240k, unemployment dropping to 3.6%, and a 0.3% rise in average hourly earnings, comprising a tighter labor market overall.

(Source: Richard Pace, market analyst)


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